Thursday, 3 August 2023

FIFA Women's World Cup: Group Stages Roundup

 

With the Group Stages now already over it is time to take stock and take note of what has happened so far at this thrilling tournament.

Teams with prior form and heritage at women's football such as Germany, China, Brazil and Italy are all already out.

Plucky co-hosts New Zealand fell but the other host Australia is through.

The game's most dominant force USA has just scraped through. Their best  hope for a goal and arguably best player, Alex Morgan, now at her fourth World Cup, and usually a goal scoring machine, has been quite harmless.

The other star players of 2019 have either retired (Ellen White of England) or are now without the pace that they once relied upon (Rapino of the USA and Marta of Brazil).

However, France's Wendie Renard is still very useful. A defensive player and also a match winner as she proved by drifting in unmarked to head home a corner.

Overall though it has been the end of the old guard and a new set of start players will hopefully emerge - and that, in a nutshell, has been so great about the tournament so far.  An unpredictable and refreshing change.

The current champions USA were magnificent in 2019, albeit lucky at times, that semi-final with England could easily have gone England's way. But their over confidence and ruthlessness whilst celebrated at home, was often perceived a brashness elsewhere.  

The USA has simply not brought through anyone to replace the now veterans Morgan and Rapino, whilst another source of goals Christen Press misses the World Cup with an ACL injury. But with strength in depth,  vast experience and proven nerve for the big-time, can they now turn on the style and turn their fortunes around? You'd be naive to write them off yet, but.....

England, champions of Europe have played brilliantly and the question is 'could they do it this year?'

France look strong and Jamaica and Morocco are the surprise packages so far.

This year, for the first time in memory, it feels as though the cup could be anyone's.

So, let's see how well we have been able to predict the unpredictable so far. As usual we made predictions on all scores and compared with a control test - the random dice - then see how we all did vs. the actual results.

To keep it brief we will for now simply compare predictions of final group standings, with a more detailed analysis due once the tournament has completed:


Table: Group A

Actual

AG

KT

Random

Switzerland

Norway

Norway

Switzerland

Norway

New Zealand

Switzerland

Philippines

New Zealand

Switzerland

New Zealand

New Zealand

Philippines

Philippines

Philippines

Norway

 

Table: Group B

Actual

AG

KT

Random

Australia

Australia

Canada

Canada

Nigeria

Canada

Australia

Australia

Canada

Rep of Ireland

Nigeria

Nigeria

Rep of Ireland

Nigeria

Rep of Ireland

Rep of Ireland

 

 Table: Group C 

Actual

AG

KT

Random

Japan

Japan

Spain

Costa Rica

Spain

Spain

Japan

Spain

Zambia

Zambia

Costa Rica

Japan

Costa Rica

Costa Rica

Zambia

Zambia

 

Table: Group D

Actual

AG

KT

Random

England

England

China

China

Denmark

China

England

Denmark

China

Denmark

Denmark

England

Haiti

Haiti

Haiti

Haiti

 

 Table: Group E

Actual

AG

KT

Random

Netherlands

USA

USA

Vietnam

USA

Netherlands

Netherlands

USA

Portugal

Portugal

Portugal

Netherlands

Vietnam

Vietnam

Vietnam

Portugal

 

Table: Group F

Actual

AG

KT

Random

France

Brazil

Brazil

Jamaica

Jamaica

France

France

France

Brazil

Jamaica

Panama

Brazil

Panama

Panama

Jamaica

Panama

 

Table: Group G

Actual

AG

KT

Random

Sweden

Argentina

Sweden

Italy

South Africa

Sweden

Argentina

South Africa

Italy

Italy

Italy

Argentina

Argentina

South Africa

South Africa

Sweden

 

 Table: Group H

Actual

AG

KT

Random

Colombia

South Korea

Germany

Morocco

Morocco

Germany

Colombia

Colombia

Germany

Colombia

South Korea

South Korea

South Korea

Morocco

Morocco

Germany

 

 

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